Calendar Year Performance 2014Calendar Year Performance 2015Calendar Year Performance 2016Calendar Year Performance 2017Calendar Year Performance 2018Calendar Year Performance 2019Calendar Year Performance 2020Calendar Year Performance 2021Calendar Year Performance 2022Calendar Year Performance 2023
+ 5.3 %
+ 0.2 %
+ 9.8 %
+ 7.3 %
- 14.4 %
+ 18.6 %
+ 20.4 %
- 5.2 %
- 9.6 %
+ 7.8 %
Net Asset Value
100.7 €
Asset Under Management
369 M €
Market
Emerging markets
SFDR - Fund Classification
Article
8
Data as of: 30 Apr 2024.
Data as of: 13 May 2024.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor). The return may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations, for the shares which are not currency-hedged.
Emerging markets gained ground in April (+1.73% in EUR), unlike developed markets. The main push came from China, where the Hang Seng was up 8.54% and the CSI 300 mainland index 3.20%. China had published some encouraging economic data including the Caixin manufacturing index, which stood in expansionary territory at 51.4. The global economy’s resilience helped China to also post above-forecast Q1 GDP growth (+5.3% vs 5%). As far as geopolitical tensions go, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s recent visit illustrates an improvement in communications between the two countries. Elsewhere in Asia, India’s markets were up (BSE SENSEX 30 +2.10% in EUR) and South Korea’s were down (Kospi -3.54% in EUR). In Latin America, Mexican (-2.57% for the Mexico IPC) and Brazilian (-4.12% for the Bovespa) markets also fell in April.
Performance commentary
The Fund posted a slightly negative performance in April. Our equity component greatly benefitted from Chinese markets’ rally. Shares in DiDi rose after the ride-hailing company announced that its buybacks would accelerate in Q2 2024. Our selection of Chinese consumer discretionary stocks such as MINISO, JD.com and Haier Smart Home also helped shore up the Fund. We were somewhat disappointed with our top Latin American holdings, which include Eletrobras and Grupo Banorte. At a bond level, we suffered from our exposure to Mexican and Japanese local debt, as well as Ukraine’s external debt. However, we benefitted from holding PEMEX corporate bonds and Ecuadorian external sovereign debt. Our management of emerging market currencies had a neutral impact on performance over April as a whole. Exposure to the Chilean peso helped, but our positioning on the Chinese yuan worked against us.
Outlook strategy
We remain optimistic for emerging market assets in 2024. The vast emerging world presents numerous opportunities across all regions and asset classes. The latest macroeconomic indicators suggest that manufacturing activity has bottomed out in the United States, the Eurozone and China. This is a big support factor for commodity-producing countries, especially in Latin America. We also take a positive view of Asian economies, particularly South Korea and Taiwan, which should benefit from the new AI cycle. On the fixed income side, at a local debt level we remain focused on countries like Mexico, where the rate-cutting cycle has started and is likely to continue. We are also long on Brazil where real interest rates are still very high. We are long on emerging market debt denominated in hard currencies, but have been taking profits on our best performing positions, such as those in Ecuador and Romania, since the beginning of the year. We are keeping modified duration close to 240 basis points and continuing to protect the portfolio with index hedges. The global economic recovery continues to support commodities such as copper and oil, which should benefit emerging market debt and the currencies of emerging commodity-producing countries. We therefore have positive expectations for the Brazilian real, Chilean peso and Kazakhstani tenge, as well as certain Asian currencies such as the won, as AI should lift the South Korean economy. We are leaving equity exposure at around 25%, with significant exposure to Asian markets and, in particular, Korean and Taiwanese technology stocks as the artificial intelligence theme is leading to sustained growth in demand for semiconductors and electronic components. During the month we closed our position in Beike, a Chinese company that specialises in real estate deals and related services. We also took profits on MINISO (China) following its rally, and increased our exposure to Vipshop.
Reference to certain securities and financial instruments is for illustrative purposes to highlight stocks that are or have been included in the portfolios of funds in the Carmignac range. This is not intended to promote direct investment in those instruments, nor does it constitute investment advice. The Management Company is not subject to prohibition on trading in these instruments prior to issuing any communication. The portfolios of Carmignac funds may change without previous notice.
The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCIS or the manager.
Carmignac Portfolio is a sub-fund of Carmignac Portfolio SICAV, an investment company under Luxembourg law, conforming to the UCITS Directive.
The information presented above is not contractually binding and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor), where applicable. Investors may lose some or all of their capital, as the capital in the UCI is not guaranteed. Access to the products and services presented herein may be restricted for some individuals or countries. Taxation depends on the situation of the individual. The risks, fees and recommended investment period for the UCI presented are detailed in the KIDs (key information documents) and prospectuses available on this website. The KID must be made available to the subscriber prior to purchase.). The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCITS or the manager.
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Market environment
Emerging markets gained ground in April (+1.73% in EUR), unlike developed markets. The main push came from China, where the Hang Seng was up 8.54% and the CSI 300 mainland index 3.20%. China had published some encouraging economic data including the Caixin manufacturing index, which stood in expansionary territory at 51.4. The global economy’s resilience helped China to also post above-forecast Q1 GDP growth (+5.3% vs 5%). As far as geopolitical tensions go, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s recent visit illustrates an improvement in communications between the two countries. Elsewhere in Asia, India’s markets were up (BSE SENSEX 30 +2.10% in EUR) and South Korea’s were down (Kospi -3.54% in EUR). In Latin America, Mexican (-2.57% for the Mexico IPC) and Brazilian (-4.12% for the Bovespa) markets also fell in April.